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Bank Failures, Rate Hikes and Market Mean Reverts As investment practitioners, we regularly encourage our clients to remain calm when reacting to unfavorable media reports about the economy or geopolitics. banks: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) of Santa Clara, CA and Signature Bank of New York City. bank failures.
What we didn’t anticipate was the government liquidity cannons firing in response to three bank failures: Signature, Silicon Valley Bank, and First Republic. In direct response to the averted crisis, the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) added $300 billion to the Federal balance sheet in just three weeks.
The rash of bank insolvencies we saw in Q1 came to a halt, likely due to the Bank Term Funding Program announced in March by the Federal Reserve. This lifeline, designed to assist banks with liquidity needs, stood in contrast to the Fed’s decision to hike the fed funds rate once again. banking system. banking system.
As we’ve discussed in prior letters, China is falling victim to several negative circumstances simultaneously: a demographic collapse, a property meltdown, an insolvent banking system, and a political regime that seems to have lost touch with reality. Over the past 20 years, China has been the world’s growth engine.
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