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Treasury: Focus on cash flow rather than Net Income and the Income Statement ; forecast the company’s cash flow needs and set up the equity or debt required to get the necessary cash in place; invest the company’s short-term cash to earn something on it and handle foreign exchange (FX) rate and other types of hedging.
Partially, it’s an issue of accessibility: Everyone understands what happens to the stock price if a company beats earnings… …but few people understand what it means if a company is set to violate a debt covenant on page 214 of its credit agreement. the appropriate debt vs. equity mix, and additional capital needs over the next few quarters.
Portfolio Structure: Unlike MM portfolios, SM portfolios do not have to be market–neutral or based on pair trades; many SM funds also tend to run much more concentrated portfolios (e.g., This is especially common in areas like distressed debt investing that depend heavily on catalysts.
Rather than trying to predict the future, we prefer to construct solid portfolios, focus on longer-term investable themes, and identify third-party manager talent with demonstrable (and persistent) alpha-generation ability. To secure that higher income for the future, we’ve begun to extend portfolio duration.
This scenario will have a disproportionate, negative effect on both commercial real estate borrowers and small-to-medium-sized businesses that aren’t large enough to access the public debt markets. To best leverage AI, this investment theme will be implemented within our clients’ portfolios as appropriate.
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