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M&A Blog #16 – valuation (Discounted Cash Flow)

Francine Way

As I mentioned in my last post, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is a valuation method that uses free cash flow projections, a discount rate, and a growth rate to find the present value estimate of a potential investment. The major steps of DCF are: Identify extraordinary, unusual, non-recurring items from the target’s 10-Ks and 10-Qs.

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M&A Blog #15 – valuation (tools and data preparation)

Francine Way

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) i s a valuation method that uses free cash flow projections, a discount rate, and a growth rate to find the present value estimate of a potential investment. Target’s current stock price: Can be obtained from sources such as Yahoo Finance. or as a premium percentage to current target’s stock price.

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M&A Blog #19 – valuation (Leveraged Buy Out - LBO)

Francine Way

Building a historical 3-statement model and a debt-interest schedule. Building the go-forward debt-interest schedule. Implied Equity Purchase Price = Transaction Value - Debt + Cash. For this table, recall that LBO transactions are heavily financed with debt (it can go up to 90% of the capital structure for some deals).

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M&A Blog #21 – valuation (scenario / sensitivity analysis)

Francine Way

Thus far, we have discussed five valuation methods: DCF, Comparable Company, Precedent Transaction, LBO, and Dividend Discount Model (DDM). An example of this technique include the changes of stock value given differing: WACCs and long-term free cash flow growth rates. Well, in the real world, there is no certainties in business.

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M&A Blog #18 – valuation (Precedent Transaction)

Francine Way

Data sources like Pitchbook would typically captured this information; or it can be calculated using the samples’ Consideration Per Share and sample targets’ stock prices at the time of the announcements - both pieces of data can be found in press releases of the sample transactions or in Pitchbook.

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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Mergers and Inquisitions

It can be useful for certain companies, such as power and utility firms and midstream (pipeline) operators in oil & gas … …but it’s also much harder to set up and use than a standard DCF. The main argument in favor of the DDM is that it best represents what happens in real life when you buy a stock.

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Methods and Examples on How to Value a Company

Lake Country Advisors

This metric provides a quick snapshot of a company’s total equity value as perceived by the stock market. This valuation reflects the market’s assessment of the company’s equity value based on its stock price and the number of shares available. million Year 2: $2 million / (1 + 0.10)^2 = $1.65 million + $1.65