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Just as any home appraiser or credit officer does before going through the analytical exercise to produce a score for a home or a borrower, valuation professionals go through several steps of preparation before the actual exercise of producing a number that can be used as a value of a company. A 5- or 10- year historical data is preferable.
As I mentioned in my valuation preparation post , Comparable Company is a valuation method that uses metrics of other similar businesses (same industry, size, geography, valuation multiples, etc.) Calculating the Equity Value and the per-share Equity Value - this number would serve as the base case share price valuation.
As I mentioned in my last post, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is a valuation method that uses free cash flow projections, a discount rate, and a growth rate to find the present value estimate of a potential investment. The major steps of DCF are: Identify extraordinary, unusual, non-recurring items from the target’s 10-Ks and 10-Qs.
For this valuation post, I wanted to talk about a valuation method that is making its way out of academia and into the real world, a method that is gaining popularity in the world of portfolio management. Projected Book Value of Equity at the end of the 15 years = from the proforma balance sheet that we developed in our DCF post.
Thus far, we have discussed five valuation methods: DCF, Comparable Company, Precedent Transaction, LBO, and Dividend Discount Model (DDM). So, a good valuation model has to take into account the possibilities of a variable having multiple values along with each value’s probability of occurring.
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